Racing Ferrol vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ALO
2 - 2
RCF
22%
20%
57%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
RCF
2 - 0
VIV
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RCF
2 - 0
LEM
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ACF
1 - 2
RCF
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
RCF
4 - 1
GRA
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 2
CEL
51%
22%
28%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ZEL
1 - 1
CHO
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CHO
1 - 1
COX
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
CHO
1 - 0
VIV
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |