Quirigua vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 0
QUI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 0
SAY
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
COM
7 - 1
QUI
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 4
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 0
QUI
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
4 - 1
ZAC
56%
24%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
5 - 2
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 1
UNI
18%
24%
59%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
ZAC
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 0
SAY
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |