Quilmes vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEL
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 3
QUI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
QUI
4 - 2
COL
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 0
QUI
64%
22%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
IND
4 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2005 |
GLP
3 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
ARG
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
IND
3 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |