Quilmes vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 2
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 1
TIG
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 3
PLA
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 2
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
1 - 3
DEF
59%
25%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 0
RAF
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
2 - 0
BRO
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
RAF
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |