QRM vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
UZE
1 - 1
QUE
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 3
LUS
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 2
LPS
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
QUE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
QUE
3 - 6
MET
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
SPI
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
VAN
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
USB
2 - 2
SPI
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |