Queenstown Rovers vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queenstown Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 3
QUE
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ROW
0 - 1
QUE
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 1
CAV
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
QUE
3 - 1
GWA
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NSF
1 - 0
COA
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
NSF
5 - 0
CEP
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |