Chinese Super League Round 17

Qingdao Hainiu vs Henan FC analysis

Qingdao Hainiu Henan FC
60 ELO 61
-8.2% Tilt -2.1%
2497º General ELO ranking 1346º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36%
Qingdao Hainiu
28.6%
Draw
35.3%
Henan FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
Qingdao Hainiu
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.3%
Win probability
Henan FC
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Qingdao Hainiu
-12%
-3%
Henan FC

Points and table prediction

Qingdao Hainiu
Their league position
Henan FC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
13º
36
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
63
63
100%
Shandong Taishan
58
58
100%
Zhejiang FC
55
55
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
53
53
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
52
52
100%
Beijing Guoan
51
51
0%
Wuhan Three Towns
51
51
0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
48
48
100%
Changchun Yatai
39
39
100%
Henan FC
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Meizhou Hakka
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Qingdao Hainiu
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Dalian Pro
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Shenzhen FC
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Qingdao Hainiu
Henan FC
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Qingdao Hainiu
Henan FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2023
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
5 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
58%
23%
19%
58 49 9 0
07 Jul. 2023
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
1 - 1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
36%
26%
38%
59 58 1 -1
02 Jul. 2023
DAL
Dalian Pro
1 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
44%
26%
30%
59 58 1 0
28 Jun. 2023
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 - 2
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
55%
25%
20%
59 64 5 0
23 Jun. 2023
DTF
Dandong Tengyue
1 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
19%
20%
61%
60 49 11 -1

Matches

Henan FC
Henan FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2023
CBC
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 - 0
Henan FC
HEN
58%
24%
18%
63 68 5 0
07 Jul. 2023
HEN
Henan FC
0 - 1
Shandong Taishan
SHA
17%
23%
60%
64 77 13 -1
03 Jul. 2023
CHA
Changchun Yatai
3 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
43%
28%
29%
64 64 0 0
28 Jun. 2023
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
33%
28%
39%
64 58 6 0
22 Jun. 2023
HBF
Hunan Billows FC
0 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
9%
19%
72%
64 35 29 0