Qatar U20s vs Spain U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LSU
2 - 1
QAT
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 5
DZA
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 4
MAU
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EAU
2 - 0
QAT
59%
21%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
QAT
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAU
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
URY
1 - 0
ESP
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
MEX
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
GHA
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |