Qarabağ vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
29
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 3
QAR
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
QAR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 1
QAR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 0
GEN
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
FKQ
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 0
ZIR
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
4 - 0
SEB
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |