Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
17º
15º
51
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 60 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 46 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 45 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 45 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 42 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 41 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 37 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 36 |
16º
|
49% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 30 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 22 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
PUS
41%
23%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
5 - 3
PUS
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PUS
1 - 1
CRA
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
4 - 1
PUS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PUS
2 - 2
RCH
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
JAG
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PGL
0 - 0
POG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RCH
0 - 3
POG
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POG
5 - 0
LPO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
POG
3 - 4
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |