Pumas UNAM vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 1
SNL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
SFF
1 - 1
PUM
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 2
PUM
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PUM
3 - 0
ATS
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
PUM
3 - 1
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FIR
0 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FAS
2 - 3
FIR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
FIR
2 - 3
AGU
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
FIR
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |