Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 0
PUM
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 2
PUM
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 0
PAC
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 2
PUE
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 2
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
JAG
3 - 3
CAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 0
CAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |