Pumas Naucalpan vs Nuevo Chimalhuacán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CUA
1 - 0
PUM
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
PUM
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 2
HID
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ZIT
0 - 0
PUM
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 1
MIC
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
HID
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ZIT
0 - 1
CHI
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
MIC
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 4
LOB
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |