Puerto Montt vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LOT
2 - 0
PUE
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
CDP
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
COQ
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 2
CDM
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
USF
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDP
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ULC
0 - 0
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
DCO
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |