Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
JUA
0 - 2
PUE
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
LEO
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 0
MAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 2
PAC
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
LEO
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |