Puebla CF vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DHM
2 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
23%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARH
5 - 0
PUE
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
ROC
23%
23%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUE
43%
24%
34%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
CDD
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
5 - 1
EST
63%
22%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
CDD
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 3
MSQ
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |