PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
PSV
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
4 - 1
UTR
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
0 - 1
INT
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 4
RJC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
PSV
26%
26%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 5
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |