PSV vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
GRO
1 - 1
PSV
22%
28%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
PSV
2 - 0
RMA
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 2
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
50%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
RMA
3 - 1
PSV
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRO
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 3
SPA
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ADO
2 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |