Eredivisie Round 16

PSV vs Excelsior analysis

PSV Excelsior
89 ELO 67
4.2% Tilt 9.7%
103º General ELO ranking 504º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
82.3%
PSV
12%
Draw
5.7%
Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
PSV
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+12%
+4%
Excelsior

ELO progression

PSV
Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 1984
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 2
PSV
PSV
31%
24%
45%
88 75 13 0
24 Nov. 1984
PSV
PSV
6 - 2
MVV Maastricht
MVV
82%
12%
6%
88 64 24 0
10 Nov. 1984
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
84%
10%
6%
88 69 19 0
07 Nov. 1984
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
PSV
PSV
48%
26%
26%
88 88 0 0
04 Nov. 1984
TWE
Twente
0 - 0
PSV
PSV
23%
24%
52%
88 76 12 0

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 1984
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
58%
22%
20%
68 68 0 0
25 Nov. 1984
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
65%
20%
15%
68 72 4 0
11 Nov. 1984
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
63%
22%
16%
68 77 9 0
04 Nov. 1984
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 4
Feyenoord
FEY
21%
23%
56%
69 87 18 -1
28 Oct. 1984
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
66%
20%
15%
69 72 3 0