PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BOS
2 - 6
PSV
15%
19%
67%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2000 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
60%
20%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
PSV
0 - 2
VIT
72%
16%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
RKC
2 - 0
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1999 |
MVV
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
MLL
2 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |