PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
VVD
2 - 8
PSV
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
PSV
0 - 1
VVV
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
DWS
1 - 3
PSV
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
PSV
1 - 5
ENS
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FEY
7 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
AJA
1 - 0
ELI
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
RAP
4 - 2
AJA
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |