Super League Indonesia Normal Season Round 18

PSM vs Persija analysis

PSM Persija
51 ELO 52
5.3% Tilt -10.2%
4587º General ELO ranking 4565º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
50.9%
PSM
24.9%
Draw
24.2%
Persija

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
PSM
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
Persija
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSM
+16%
+21%
Persija

Points and table prediction

PSM
Their league position
Persija
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
13º
11º
48
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Borneo Samarinda
70
70
100%
Persib
62
62
100%
Bali United
58
58
100%
Madura United
55
55
100%
Dewa United
54
54
100%
PSIS Semarang
53
53
100%
Persis Solo
50
50
100%
Persija
48
48
100%
Persik Kediri
48
48
100%
Barito Putera
10º
46
46
10º
100%
PSM
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Persebaya
12º
42
42
12º
100%
PSS Sleman
13º
39
39
13º
0%
Persita
14º
39
39
14º
0%
Arema FC
15º
38
38
15º
100%
RANS Nusantara
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Bhayangkara FC
17º
26
26
17º
100%
Persikabo 1973
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
PSM
Persija
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

PSM
Persija
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSM
PSM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2023
RCF
RANS Nusantara
1 - 1
PSM
PSM
47%
25%
28%
52 52 0 0
25 Oct. 2023
PSM
PSM
3 - 1
Hougang United
HOU
25%
21%
54%
50 54 4 +2
20 Oct. 2023
PSM
PSM
3 - 0
Arema FC
ARE
54%
23%
23%
49 48 1 +1
08 Oct. 2023
PSM
PSM
0 - 2
Madura United
MAD
45%
26%
29%
50 52 2 -1
05 Oct. 2023
PSM
PSM
0 - 5
Sabah
SAB
26%
24%
49%
51 60 9 -1

Matches

Persija
Persija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
PSI
PSIS Semarang
2 - 1
Persija
PER
49%
25%
25%
52 52 0 0
22 Oct. 2023
PER
Persija
1 - 2
RANS Nusantara
RCF
44%
25%
31%
52 50 2 0
07 Oct. 2023
PER
Persija
1 - 1
Barito Putera
BAR
43%
26%
32%
52 52 0 0
30 Sep. 2023
PRS
Persis Solo
2 - 2
Persija
PER
49%
25%
26%
52 52 0 0
24 Sep. 2023
PER
Persija
1 - 1
Bali United
PER
41%
25%
34%
52 52 0 0