Provincial Talagante vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Talagante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TAL
2 - 2
DMQ
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DMQ
1 - 2
TAL
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TAL
1 - 4
OVA
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
TAL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CDM
1 - 0
DMQ
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 0
CDM
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CDM
2 - 3
SAU
40%
24%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
CDM
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |