Provincial Ovalle vs Colina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
19
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 23 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 20 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DUC
2 - 3
OVA
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
CHG
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 2
OVA
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OVA
1 - 0
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
OVA
22%
21%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHG
1 - 2
ACC
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ACC
1 - 1
PRO
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 1
ACC
12%
16%
72%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ACC
1 - 1
DUC
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 0
ACC
29%
24%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |