Progrès Niederkorn vs Union Titus Pétange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
13º
2º
59
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
KAE
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UNA
0 - 1
PRO
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ULU
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USH
1 - 0
PRO
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 6
PRO
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Union Titus Pétange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ETZ
2 - 3
TPE
26%
23%
51%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
JEU
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
5 - 1
VIC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 2
TPE
9%
17%
75%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |