Pro Patria vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
PRO
49%
28%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
PIA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
SER
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ABN
2 - 3
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |