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Lega Pro. Group A, Matchday 22

Pro Patria Olbia Calcio
42 ELO 29
-37% Tilt -4%
1867º General ELO ranking 3629º
62º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
39.4%
Pro Patria
32.1%
Draw
28.5%
Olbia Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
Pro Patria
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
28.5%
Win probability
Olbia Calcio
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pro Patria
-24%
-15%
Olbia Calcio

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
42
29
ELO
1
0.8
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Pro Patria
Their league position
Olbia Calcio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
13º
47
11º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Como
75
75
100%
US Alessandria
68
68
100%
Renate
65
65
100%
Pro Vercelli
63
63
100%
Pro Patria
61
61
100%
Lecco
60
60
100%
AlbinoLeffe
57
57
100%
Pontedera
55
55
100%
Grosseto
54
54
100%
Juventus Sub 23
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Novara
11º
49
49
11º
50%
Piacenza
12º
49
49
12º
50%
Olbia Calcio
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Giana Erminio
14º
44
44
14º
33%
Pergolettese
15º
44
44
15º
33%
Carrarese
16º
44
44
16º
33%
Pro Sesto
17º
43
43
17º
100%
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
18º
31
31
18º
50%
Pistoiese
19º
31
31
19º
50%
Livorno
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pro Patria
Olbia Calcio
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Olbia Calcio
OLB
Pro Patria
PRO
Pistoiese
PIS
Livorno
LIV
Pergolettese
PER
Piacenza
PIA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pro Patria
Pro Patria
1%
X%
2%
ELO PRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2021
LEO
Pro Vercelli
0 - 0
Pro Patria
PRO
51%
26%
23%
683 860 177 +1
24 Jan. 2021
PRO
Pro Patria
1 - 1
Carrarese
CAR
47%
27%
26%
683 648 35 0
16 Jan. 2021
PRO
Pro Patria
0 - 0
US Alessandria
USA
44%
27%
29%
683 809 -126 0
10 Jan. 2021
LIV
Livorno
0 - 2
Pro Patria
PRO
46%
27%
28%
679 600 -79 +4
23 Dec. 2020
PRO
Pro Patria
1 - 0
Giana Erminio
GER
51%
26%
23%
677 462 215 +2

Matches

Olbia Calcio
Olbia Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO OLB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2021
OLB
Olbia Calcio
1 - 2
US Alessandria
USA
33%
27%
39%
371 806 -435 -2
24 Jan. 2021
PON
Pontedera
2 - 1
Olbia Calcio
OLB
51%
25%
23%
373 534 161 -3
17 Jan. 2021
OLB
Olbia Calcio
3 - 2
Grosseto
GRO
47%
27%
26%
370 327 43 +3
10 Jan. 2021
NOV
Novara
1 - 1
Olbia Calcio
OLB
56%
24%
20%
369 773 404 +1
23 Dec. 2020
OLB
Olbia Calcio
1 - 0
Lecco
LEC
47%
27%
26%
367 333 34 +3