Preußen Münster II vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
8º
6º
41
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 66 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 59 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 58 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 32 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
78.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 1
PRE
31%
23%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 1
TDO
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ERH
0 - 0
PRE
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 0
TVC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 3
WIE
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
1 - 2
SPR
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
SFB
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STE
6 - 1
SFB
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |