League One play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Preston North End vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
PNE
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
PNE
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PNE
3 - 0
SWI
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 3
PNE
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
PNE
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
PNE
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SHE
1 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 2
BRI
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OLD
0 - 0
CHE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
6 - 0
COL
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |