Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
MID
2 - 0
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
PNE
4 - 0
HUR
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 4
BRE
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1935 |
BRE
5 - 2
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1935 |
LEE
0 - 1
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
OPA
65%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
SHW
5 - 2
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1935 |
HUR
4 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1935 |
ASV
4 - 1
HUR
59%
19%
23%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |