Prainha vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prainha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 1
PRA
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 1
FAY
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 2
PRA
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
4 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SCG
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
LUS
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IDE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAY
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |