Série D Brazil Round 2

Potiguar Mossoró vs Santa Cruz analysis

Potiguar Mossoró Santa Cruz
46 ELO 53
-3.3% Tilt 0.4%
6153º General ELO ranking 3210º
237º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Potiguar Mossoró
26.4%
Draw
40.3%
Santa Cruz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
Potiguar Mossoró
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.3%
Win probability
Santa Cruz
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Potiguar Mossoró
-5%
+8%
Santa Cruz

ELO progression

Potiguar Mossoró
Santa Cruz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Potiguar Mossoró
Potiguar Mossoró
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2010
CON
Confiança
1 - 0
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
49%
24%
27%
48 48 0 0
11 Apr. 2010
ASS
ASSU
1 - 0
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
44%
24%
32%
49 48 1 -1
08 Apr. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 0
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
42%
25%
34%
50 50 0 -1
04 Apr. 2010
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
0 - 0
ABC
ABC
26%
23%
52%
50 59 9 0
01 Apr. 2010
ALE
Alecrim
1 - 2
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
38%
25%
37%
49 45 4 +1

Matches

Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
CSA
CSA
68%
20%
12%
54 48 6 0
10 Jul. 2010
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
74%
17%
10%
54 73 19 0
08 Jul. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
25%
24%
51%
54 73 19 0
04 Jul. 2010
SER
Sergipe
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
30%
25%
45%
55 42 13 -1
02 Jul. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
21%
24%
55%
54 77 23 +1