Posušje vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
5º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
POS
2 - 2
ZRI
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POS
0 - 0
GOS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
POS
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
1 - 2
SAR
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 1
SAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
ZEL
50%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |