El Porvenir vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LUJ
4 - 0
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 1
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
LAF
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JJU
1 - 2
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
MER
1 - 5
ARQ
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
CAD
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CCO
3 - 1
MER
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
LUJ
0 - 1
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |