Porvenir Asuka vs Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
83.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
HON
0 - 2
OSA
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 2
MIO
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
OSA
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OSA
1 - 1
IWA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
OSA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |