Portuguesa Santista vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
JAB
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
JAB
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BER
3 - 0
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BER
5 - 1
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
BEB
42%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FER
3 - 0
MAN
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |