Portuguesa Santista vs Jabaquara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DIA
1 - 1
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAU
1 - 1
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
SVA
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ATI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Jabaquara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
JAB
2 - 1
SVA
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BER
2 - 0
JAB
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JAB
1 - 2
MAU
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JAB
2 - 1
BER
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
4 - 0
JAB
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |