Portuguesa RJ vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
IFC
0 - 0
POR
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
CER
1 - 2
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
FRI
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
QUI
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GOY
1 - 0
CAB
38%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
GOY
3 - 2
SCR
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 3
GOY
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
GOY
2 - 2
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |