Portuguesa RJ vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
TIG
54%
27%
20%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RES
5 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
RES
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 3
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
FLA
14%
22%
65%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOA
83%
12%
4%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |