Portugalete vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 0
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GET
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 0
GER
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
BAR
24%
30%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GER
3 - 1
FUE
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GET
0 - 1
GER
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |