Portsmouth vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 0
OPA
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 3
OPA
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 0
HAR
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
0 - 1
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
STE
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BPO
0 - 2
LUT
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 3
LUT
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |