Portonovo vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LAR
2 - 1
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
ARO
36%
29%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DEP
5 - 0
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 1
BET
41%
28%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
BER
1 - 3
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NEG
2 - 1
LAL
42%
28%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VER
0 - 1
NEG
25%
30%
44%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
NEG
37%
29%
34%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
NEG
0 - 1
LAR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ARO
0 - 1
NEG
35%
29%
35%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |