Portland Timbers vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
VKG
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
KCW
2 - 2
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
SES
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NYC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NER
0 - 4
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
LAN
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
NER
2 - 2
NYC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
IMI
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
COR
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |