Portland Timbers II vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REN
7 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
SAC
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
LAG
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
REN
3 - 2
TAC
82%
12%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REN
7 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
ARI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 3
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |