Portimonense vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
SCP
20%
21%
59%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TON
2 - 2
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
RIO
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 0
PAÇ
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SPB
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |