Portimonense vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BMA
0 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
OLH
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
OVA
1 - 3
AVE
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCB
4 - 0
OVA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
OVA
0 - 4
GON
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LEX
2 - 0
OVA
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
OVA
0 - 0
EST
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |