Welsh Premier League Round 31

Porthmadog vs Llanelli AFC analysis

Porthmadog Llanelli AFC
57 ELO 48
-3.2% Tilt -8.6%
9056º General ELO ranking 20131º
65º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Porthmadog
21.6%
Draw
18.7%
Llanelli AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Porthmadog
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
Llanelli AFC
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Porthmadog
Llanelli AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porthmadog
Porthmadog
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2005
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 1
Porthmadog
POR
66%
20%
14%
58 64 6 0
03 Apr. 2005
POR
Porthmadog
2 - 0
Afan Lido
LID
54%
24%
22%
57 54 3 +1
28 Mar. 2005
CAE
Caersws
0 - 1
Porthmadog
POR
74%
17%
10%
56 67 11 +1
22 Mar. 2005
POR
Porthmadog
0 - 3
Rhyl FC
RHY
24%
24%
52%
57 69 12 -1
18 Mar. 2005
CAE
Caernarfon Town
3 - 1
Porthmadog
POR
46%
25%
29%
58 51 7 -1

Matches

Llanelli AFC
Llanelli AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2005
LLA
Llanelli AFC
1 - 2
Welshpool Town FC
WEL
47%
24%
29%
48 57 9 0
03 Apr. 2005
LLA
Llanelli AFC
2 - 1
Caernarfon Town
CAE
50%
23%
28%
47 52 5 +1
01 Apr. 2005
LID
Afan Lido
1 - 1
Llanelli AFC
LLA
46%
27%
28%
47 54 7 0
28 Mar. 2005
CAR
Carmarthen Town
5 - 1
Llanelli AFC
LLA
64%
20%
16%
47 63 16 0
19 Mar. 2005
CAE
Caersws
2 - 0
Llanelli AFC
LLA
75%
16%
9%
48 66 18 -1