Port Vale vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 1
POR
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SHW
3 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BIR
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
WOL
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
SOU
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
SOU
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |