League One Round 2

Port Vale vs Reading analysis

Port Vale Reading
60 ELO 68
-5.9% Tilt 3.6%
2736º General ELO ranking 1607º
69º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
22.9%
Port Vale
26.1%
Draw
51%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51%
Win probability
Reading
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+19%
+8%
Reading

Points and table prediction

Port Vale
Their league position
Reading
CURR.POS.
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
24º
23º
53
12º
23º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Portsmouth
97
97
100%
Derby County
92
92
100%
Bolton Wanderers
87
87
100%
Peterborough United
84
84
100%
Oxford United
77
77
100%
Barnsley
76
76
100%
Lincoln City
74
74
100%
Blackpool
73
73
100%
Stevenage
71
71
100%
Wigan Athletic
12º
62
70
10º
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
10º
65
65
11º
100%
Leyton Orient
11º
65
65
12º
100%
Exeter City
13º
61
61
13º
100%
Northampton
14º
60
60
14º
100%
Reading
17º
53
59
15º
100%
Bristol Rovers
15º
57
57
16º
100%
Charlton Athletic
16º
53
53
17º
100%
Cambridge United
18º
48
48
18º
0%
Shrewsbury Town
19º
48
48
19º
0%
Burton Albion
20º
46
46
20º
100%
Cheltenham Town
21º
44
44
21º
100%
Fleetwood Town
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Port Vale
23º
41
41
23º
100%
Carlisle United
24º
30
30
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Port Vale
Reading
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Port Vale
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2023
POR
Port Vale
3 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
29%
25%
47%
58 64 6 0
05 Aug. 2023
BAR
Barnsley
7 - 0
Port Vale
POR
69%
20%
12%
59 73 14 -1
29 Jul. 2023
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale
POR
25%
23%
52%
59 52 7 0
21 Jul. 2023
POR
Port Vale
1 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
31%
24%
45%
59 63 4 0
15 Jul. 2023
NEW
Newcastle Town
0 - 0
Port Vale
POR
6%
14%
81%
59 25 34 0

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2023
MIL
Millwall
0 - 4
Reading
REA
59%
22%
18%
67 77 10 0
05 Aug. 2023
REA
Reading
0 - 1
Peterborough United
POS
38%
26%
36%
68 71 3 -1
29 Jul. 2023
REA
Reading
0 - 4
Swansea City
SWA
30%
24%
47%
68 77 9 0
25 Jul. 2023
REA
Reading
0 - 2
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
49%
23%
28%
68 68 0 0
22 Jul. 2023
REA
Reading
2 - 4
Southampton
SOU
21%
24%
55%
68 84 16 0