FA Cup . 1/32
Global 5-4
Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
PNE
3 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MKD
3 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
STE
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
GUL
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
PLY
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 3
PLY
59%
25%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
BCF
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
PLY
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |